Tuesday, March 31, 2015

3 Huge Internet Trends in 2013

In the following video, Motley Fool contributor John Reeves takes investors through three major Internet trends happening in 2013 that could be big market drivers. He discusses the continuing smartphone boom and why we're nowhere near market saturation, tells us about who stands to benefit the most from unstoppable tablet sales, and gives investors one metric that shows just how big the global market is becoming for the top 10 Internet properties in the world, such as Google (NASDAQ: GOOG  ) , Facebook (NASDAQ: FB  ) , and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN  ) .

It's more important than ever to understand each piece of Google's sprawling empire. In The Motley Fool's new premium research report on Google, we break down the risks and potential rewards for Google investors. Simply click here now to unlock your copy of this invaluable resource.

Hedge Fund Manager Sends the Dow Higher

Blue-chip stocks are continuing their rally today following some bullish comments from a prominent hedge-fund manager. With roughly an hour left in the trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) is up by 84 points, or 0.56%.

Early this morning on CNBC, the founder and chief investment officer of Appaloosa Management, David Tepper, told the hosts of Squawk Box that he's "definitely bullish" on stocks right now. His thesis pivots around the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will ease back on its $85 billion in monthly bond purchases, otherwise known as quantitative easing.

"If the Fed doesn't taper back, we're going to get into this hyper-drive market," Tepper noted. "It's a backwards argument. To keep the markets going up at a steady pace the Fed has to taper back." And with respect to banks in particular, he said that it's a "good sector." For investors, in other words, it's a win-win scenario.

On the heels of this news, shares of Bank of America (NYSE: BAC  ) led the Dow higher, up by 2.2% at the time of writing. As I discussed this morning, the bank has distinguished itself of late by clearing up a number of outstanding legal issues over the last few months. That, as well as its ongoing share buyback program, is bound to push shares of the lender up until its valuation is more in line with competitors such as JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo.

On the other end of the spectrum, shares of multiple technology companies are missing out on the rally, including Intel (NASDAQ: INTC  ) , which is down 1%. This sector has been hit hard of late due to the waning demand for personal computers. To add insult to injury, moreover, one well-known Silicon Valley insider has said that the industry is in the midst of a "tech depression."

"A lot of people got burned during the dot-com crash," said Marc Andreessen, co-founder of venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, "so I think we are living through the other side of that. I think we are living through sort of the tech depression, is the term I've used."

Is Bank of America still a buy?
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Sunday, March 29, 2015

Why Western Union Will Keep Crawling Back

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, money transfer giant Western Union (NYSE: WU  ) has earned a respected four-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Western Union and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Western Union facts

Headquarters

Englewood, Colo. (1851)

Market Cap

$8.5 billion

Industry

Data processing and outsourced services

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$5.7 billion

Management

CEO Hikmet Ersek (since 2010)
CFO Scott Scheirman (since 2006)

Return on Capital (average, past 3 years)

21.2%

Cash / Debt

$1.8 billion / $4.0 billion

Dividend Yield

3.3%

Competitors

American Express
Moneygram International

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 97% of the 1,641 members who have rated Western Union believe the stock will outperform the S&P 500 going forward.

Earlier this week, one of those Fools, compustat, succinctly summed up the Western Union bull case for our community:

[Western Union] has a admirable competitive advantage that is derived from its business model that takes full advantage of the network effect. As the company ties up loose ends regarding its misstep in Mexico and regulatory issues play out, this stock will be back on track. Very cheap valuation given its future prospects and sustainable moat.

If you want market-thumping returns, you need to put together the best portfolio you can. Of course, despite a strong four-star rating, Western Union may not be your top choice.

We've found another stock we are incredibly excited about -- excited enough to dub it "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." We have compiled a special free report for investors to uncover this stock today. The report is 100% free, but it won't be here forever, so click here to access it now.

Want to see how well (or not so well) the stocks in this series are performing? Follow the TrackPoisedTo CAPS account.

Friday, March 27, 2015

Apple Joins the Smartphone Price War

While Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) is well-known for going its own way, it should not come as a surprise that the company has finally decided to release an iPhone with a much lower starting price, according to The Wall Street Journal. Not only will this move allow the company to finally compete in the emerging markets in a far more meaningful way, it will give the company the potential to attract a new base of customers at home.

In the following video, Fool.com contributor Doug Ehrman discusses the development and some of the potential it represents for Cupertino.

It's incredible to think just how much of our digital and technological lives are almost entirely shaped and molded by just a handful of companies. Find out "Who Will Win the War Between the 5 Biggest Tech Stocks?" in The Motley Fool's latest free report, which details the knock-down, drag-out battle being waged by the five kings of tech. Click here to keep reading.

Monday, March 23, 2015

Vast majority of iPhone 6 buyers are rich, white men

How much does your iPhone really cost?   How much does your iPhone really cost? NEW YORK (CNNMoney) Who's buying the iPhone 6 so far? Mostly rich, white guys.

Nearly 80% of iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus buyers in the United States are male, according to Slice, a company that tracks consumer purchases.

Two-thirds of iPhone 6 owners are white, and more than half have a college degree. More than 60% make over $75,000 a year.

Did you think those numbers would be a little more evenly distributed? They will be eventually, if history is any indicator.

But there is a certain type of person who rushes to get the newest iPhone early -- either by getting up at 3 a.m. to pre-order the phone or by camping out overnight in front of an Apple (AAPL, Tech30) Store.

iphone 6 6plus comparison Click the chart to see more about who is buying the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus.

That person has at least $650 to kill on a new phone and the technical savvy to trade-in an old phone. That person tends to be white, wealthy, college-educated and male.

Apple did not respond to a request for comment on this story.

A year ago, the people buying the iPhone 5C and iPhone 5S during the first week of sales looked remarkably similar to the people buying the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus this year. More than three-quarters were male, 63% were white, just over half had a college degree, and 59% made over $75,000 a year.

Thursday, March 19, 2015

Australia stocks sagging early

LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- Australia shares nudged lower early Friday, with the S&P/ASX 200 (AU:XJO) down 0.2% to erase the previous session's 0.2% gain, dragged by losses for European and U.S. equities on the back of a Portuguese financial crisis. Financials fell (Australia & New Zealand Banking Group (AU:ANZ) (ANEWF) and National Australia Bank Ltd. (AU:NAB) (NAUBF) each down 0.3%, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (AU:CBA) (CBAUF) down 0.4%, and Macquarie Group Ltd. (AU:MQG) (MCQEF) down 0.7%), and the top miners fared especially poorly (Rio Tinto Ltd. (AU:RIO) (RIO) down 1.2%, Oz Minerals Ltd. (AU:OZL) (OZMLF) down 1.1%, though BHP Billiton Ltd. (AU:BHP) (BHP) off just 0.1%). And while Atlas Iron Ltd. (AU:AGO) beat its production guidance, and Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. (AU:FMG) (FSUMF) missed its production guidance, both saw losses, with Atlas stock off 2.9% and Fortescue trading 1.6% lower. Among the gainers, Scentre Group (AU:SCG) rose 0.6% as Deutsche Bank initiated coverage with a buy rating, and Qantas Airways Ltd. (AU:QAN) (QUBSF) climbed 1.2% as a news report in The Australian trumpted success for the airline's Acquire loyalty-rewards program. Shares of Roc Oil Co. (AU:ROC) rallied 3.5% after the company said it had received a second takeover bid, and a bounce in gold prices sent Evolution Mining Ltd. (AU:EVN) (CAHPF) up 3%, and St. Barbara Ltd. (AU:SBM) up 6%.

Monday, March 16, 2015

Yellen Gives Green Light to More Stock Gains

Federal Reserve Susan Walsh/APFederal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks during a news conference at the Federal Reserve in Washington on Wednesday. NEW YORK -- Federal Reserve chief Janet Yellen signaled that rational exuberance is just fine. That, at least, is how some of America's largest money managers interpreted her comments on Wednesday suggesting interest rates will remain low through 2016. It reinforced their views that easy money means the U.S. stock market rally has further to run despite notching a series of record highs already this year. That could easily put the S&P 500 benchmark on track to surpass 2000 for the first time, and to do so well before the end of the year. Such a gain for 2014, after a 30 percent rise in 2013, would surprise those who worried that stocks might be getting overvalued and were due for a sizable pullback. One reason for increasing confidence is that the resilience of the market has been very strong in the face of various shocks this year. A combination of an improving economy, rising earnings, and the cheap borrowing costs, has made that possible. Stock investors have shaken off last year's budget uncertainty in Washington, a sharp drop in high-growth technology companies and biotech shares, the conflict in Ukraine, and more recently the apparent tearing apart of Iraq that resulted in a spike in oil prices. "What I have is a sweet combination of a self-sustaining, long lasting economic expansion joined with a long-lasting monetary accommodation," said Steven Einhorn, vice chairman of Leon Cooperman's hedge fund Omega Advisors, which has $10.5 billion in assets under management. "I don't think this bull market is over," he said, adding he estimates stocks could rise another 3 to 5 percent this year. That may sound modest but when added to an average S&P 500 dividend yield of 2 percent, it looks pretty attractive against the 2.62 percent yield of a 10-year Treasury note. Fund Flows Yellen on Wednesday said interest rates could stay "well below longer-run normal values at the end of 2016," leading to further gains in stock prices that on Thursday pushed the S&P 500 to a new record. The S&P 500 (^GPSC) gained 2.50 points or 0.13 percent, to close at 1,959.48. While the Fed lowered some of its economic forecasts, Yellen nonetheless cited reasons for optimism about the world's biggest economy, including resilient household spending and an improving jobs market. Even if the market closed the year at this level it would mark the best three-year run for U.S. stocks since the 1997-1999 period. That's driven greater household interest in equities. Retail investors have dropped $61 billion into U.S.-based stock funds this year, according to Lipper. Tom Nally, a president at TD Ameritrade Institutional (AMTD), told the Reuters Global Wealth Management Summit on Wednesday that retail clients have an average of 19 percent of their assets in cash, slightly below the historical average of 20 to 25 percent. Advisers working with the firm are even more bullish -- with 8 percent of their clients' assets in cash. "We still think we are in one of the biggest bull markets of our careers," said Rich Bernstein, founder of Richard Bernstein Advisors in New York, and a former top Merrill Lynch investment strategist. Beyond a Bad Winter While first-quarter growth disappointed, economists say the effects of unusually bad winter weather will fade later this year. Expectations for corporate earnings growth have improved, with 2014 earnings expected to grow at 9.1 percent, up from 8.7 percent on April 1, according to Thomson Reuters data. Several fund managers said the slowness of the economic expansion may work in favor of the slow grind higher in stocks. The languid pace has prevented over-enthusiastic expectations from investors and the buildup of fixed-cost investments that "sow the seeds for the next recession," Bernstein said. "It is simply too early in this business expansion for shares to peak," said Einhorn. "If I'm correct that this particular economic expansion has years to go, then this bull market should have a good deal of time and price left in it." What's been striking about the rally is, in a sense, just how boring it has become. The S&P 500 (^GPSC) hasn't closed up or down by more than 1 percent in 43 consecutive trading days, the longest streak since 1995, said Antony Filippo, a Toronto-based independent investment manager. The CBOE Volatility index closed at its lowest in more than seven years Wednesday. To some, this suggests investors have become "complacent," that is, ignoring potential problems that could derail a rally, but a number of strategists suggested that just because investors aren't paying for protection does not mean they don't have worries. "You always want to be on guard for excesses ... but as it stands now the bias does appear to be toward the upside," said Dan Greenhaus, chief strategist at BTIG, who sees the S&P 500 at 1980 by year-end. Some Risks The year's strongest performers are a mix of defensive stocks with high dividends, like utilities -- which have risen 14 percent -- and growth areas like health care, technology and energy. The consumer discretionary sector -- which includes many retailers -- is the only one that is in the red this year, suggesting concern about the path of spending. If inflation picks up as growth remains stagnant, that would give investors pause. Core U.S. consumer prices have risen 2 percent over the last year, and if the inflation rate went much higher it could put pressure on the Fed to consider moving more rapidly to raise rates. "If the Fed had to get more hawkish quickly it's going to be a problem for the market, and lead to an abrupt end of low volatility -- we are vulnerable to a shock," said Russ Koesterich, chief investment strategist for Blackrock (BLK), which has more than $4 trillion in assets under management. Some measures suggest stocks are a little expensive: The current forward price to earnings ratio, at 15.6, is higher than the 10-year average of 13.8, according to Thomson Reuters data. Stocks could peter out when the Fed finally begins raising interest rates and the excess fueling equities' gains is gone. "When the Fed starts shifting toward maybe hiking rates, then you say, 'Okay, do I have to rethink how I'm allocated here?' " Greenhaus said. But many investors see plenty of time to take the bullish road before having to worry about that. "What's there to not like?" asked Karyn Cavanaugh, senior market strategist at Voya Investment Management in New York, which has $215 billion in assets under management. Cavanaugh, who sees the S&P ending the year around 2020, added: "There's nothing out there that's really going to derail this market." -.

Stocks: Making Nothing Out of Something

Stocks finished mix today, though it’s probably more fair to say they hardly moved at all. Intel (INTC), Facebook (FB) and Achillion Pharmaceuticals (ACHN) gained, while CR Bard (BCR) and eHealth (EHTH) fell.

Getty Images

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.02% to 16,945.92, a record high, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.04% to 4,338.00, while the S&P 500 dipped 0.02% to 1,950.79 and the small-company Russell 2000 dropped 0.3% to 1,172.71.

CR Bard fell 4.7% to 141.05, making it the S&P 500′s biggest loser, while Intel jumped 1.1% to $28.24, making it the biggest percentage gainer in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Intel rose despite the fact that Canaccord Genuity resumed its shares with a Hold rating. “We believe increased ARM competition certainly doesn't mean Intel's strong data center growth is finished, but we believe Intel's current guidance for re-accelerating Data Center Group (DCG) revenue growth to 15% could prove aggressive,” notes Canaccord’s Matthew Ramsay.

The Nasdaq 100 got a boost from Facebook, which rose 4.6% to $65.77. Facebook gained despite one analyst raising the possibility that Apple (AAPL) could potentially limit its ability to place ads on its own apps.

Achillion Pharmaceuticals gained 83% to $7.79 today after the FDA said the company could continue trials for its hepatitis-C treatment. That wasn’t enough to lift the Russell 2000, which got dragged down by eHealth. eHealth plunged 13% to $33.91 after Jefferies cut its shares to Hold from Buy.

Instinet’s Frank Cappelleri warns that small-caps better not start plunging again:

We have harped on the importance of this recent rally, and how the Russell must prove it can regain its leadership qualities it enjoyed in 2013. Thus, with the market making new highs on the back of Growth being "back in favor," it is imperative that the next decline doesn't waste the last two weeks of accumulation.

That Head & Shoulder potential is still there, thus, the hope is that if the helium is let out of this Small Cap balloon soon, that it is done gradually. Alternatively, a pop may just wake up stubborn bears once again.

Morgan Stanley’s Adam Parker and team dispute the notion that the market has gone through a “value rotation.” They explain:

The recent turmoil in US equities has been called a "value rotation," but as we’ve written before this is only half true. While mega-cap non-growth stocks have outperformed small-cap growth stocks since March, there has been no net gain for small-cap non-growth stocks relative to mega-cap growth. In fact, these two dimensions of style performance have been uncorrelated since mid-December, and were only aligned for a two-week period (March 19 – April 4). Over the last two months, mega- and large-cap growth stocks have outperformed small- and mid-cap non-growth stocks, suggesting that the rotation was actually rather nuanced.

Nuance? Clearly, Parker is a strategist, not a blogger.

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Auxier Asset Management's Auxier Report - First Quarter 2014

Performance data quoted represents past performance and is no guarantee of future results. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than original cost. As stated in the current prospectus, the Fund's Investor Class Share's annual operating expense ratio (gross) is 1.28%. The Fund's adviser has contractually agreed to waive a portion of its fee and/or reimburse Fund expenses to limit total annual operating expenses at 1.25%, which is in effect until October 31, 2015. Other share classes may vary. The Fund charges a 2.0% redemption fee on shares redeemed within six months of purchase. For the most recent month-end performance, please call (877)328-9437 or visit the Advisor's website at www.auxierasset.com. The recent growth rate in the stock market has helped to produce short-term returns that are not typical and may not continue in the future.Spring 2014 Market CommentaryAuxier Focus Fund's Investor Class returned a modest 0.25% for the quarter ended March 31, while Standard and Poor's 500 Stock Index (S&P) rose 1.81%. The Fund ended the quarter with 70% in U.S. stocks, 16% foreign stocks, 1.7 % bonds and 12.3% cash. Since inception in 1999, the Fund's equity exposure has averaged 72%. Our stockholdings in the healthcare industry generally gained for the quarter. But many of our multinational and foreign stocks were hurt by the threat of currency repercussions from geopolitical events in Russia and Ukraine. The foreign portion of the Fund is easily the most undervalued. Longer term, we see a very favorable risk/reward potential with our UK and European holdings. Some emerging market companies we follow are the cheapest in over twenty years. In allocating capital, we much prefer the gloom of down to flat markets and the corrective pr! ocess that tempers exuberance. We remember that one of the prime derailments of consistently high compound returns is overpaying and over-borrowing, both of which most often takes place in "good times."In Search of Corporate Catalysts

Top Holdings 3/31/2014% Assets
Molson Coors Brewing 3.6
Pepsico 3.2
Tesco 2.7
Bank of New York Mellon 2.6
BP 2.3
Merck 2.2
Microsoft 2.1
Philip Morris 2.1
Telefonica 2.0
Medtronic 2.0
In higher markets, to help protect on the downside, we tend to search for ideas where changing industry dynamics and a "managerial event" can help to create a catalyst to drive value creation. These are more market "agnostic" and less tied to the overall supply/demand of stock prices. In the healthcare industry, we are seeing the seeds of a major restructuring in which conglomerates are under pressure to dismantle and refocus on specific areas of strength. Fund holdings like Glaxo (GSK), Merck (MRK), Baxter (BAX), Zimmer, Pfizer (PFE) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) are examples of proactive managements taking actions to streamline operations. Many of those companies were purchased at bargain prices two years ago in the height of pessimism surrounding the uncertainty of healthcare reform.In Europe, the telecom industry offers opportunities amid rapid consolidation. There are over 100 Euro phone companies in contrast to a handful in the U.S. Merger activity is acting to lift values and may likely benefit operators like America Movil and Telefo! nica. Mul! tinational oil companies in the Fund such as BP (BP), Chevron (CVX), Conoco (COP) and Exxon (XOM) are scrutinizing capital spending and downsizing through spin-offs to more effectively compete and earn higher rates on investment. Chemical companies like DuPont, Dow and LyondellBasell have benefitted from low natural gas inputs driven by technological advances in horizontal drilling and so-called fracking.Opportunities Along the Food ChainLiving on a farm for the past twenty-six years has helped me to identify investment trends along the food chain. From grass-fed beef, free-range chickens, nuts to GPS technology and drones. Today there is a much greater understanding of the impact of nutrition and health. Evidence suggests that many illnesses can be traced directly to mineral deficiencies. In fact, the latest advances in cancer research are centered on mitochondria cell energy and boosting the immune system. Immunotherapy is the prevention or treatment of disease with substances that stimulate the immune system. This is one of the most exciting areas in medical research and may play a critical role in reducing healthcare costs. Kroger (KR) is an example of a U.S. grocer in the portfolio that has successfully transitioned toward the trend of eating better to become the number two seller of organic food in the country.The growing middle classes in emerging markets globally are demanding better quality foods (protein) and beverages. To serve the expected boom in demand, the world will have to produce as much food in the next 40 years as it has in the past 10,000. Over the next ten years, per capita GDP is expected to run nearly five times faster in the economies of emerging nations (source: Value Line). By 2020, the Chinese middle class is expected to be 640 million, up from 300 million today. The Chinese are following a policy of "social stability," one in which food availability and economic equality are driving many decisions. (source: Progressive Farmer). It is estimated that over 20% of China's ! farm soil! is contaminated with numerous forms of toxins. Food and water safety concerns continue to escalate. In California, extreme drought conditions and water politics are creating shortages. The prospects for an El Nino weather pattern later this year could further disrupt food supplies. These factors all contribute to firm pricing and a positive outlook for U.S. farmers. Food retailers who can innovate in delivering products with quality backed by integrity will excel. We like food and other dull industries that have typically endured the challenges of both inflation and deflation. During the 1970s, a period of easy money and high inflation, supermarkets outperformed with high inventory turns and low mandatory capital requirements.Risks Are Rising in Bonds and StocksDuring the financial crisis that bottomed in 2009, we were aggressive buyers of distressed corporate debt as interest-rate spreads widened in excess of 21%. We were well compensated for the risk. Today the spread is less than a measly 5%. The twin risks of potentially losing purchasing power and principal currently contribute to a poor risk/reward dynamic in the bond market overall. Since the Federal Reserve was established in 1913, the U.S. dollar has lost 96% of its value. (source: Bureau of Labor Statistics). So $1000 would now be worth approximately $40. Contrast that with $1000 invested in Philip Morris stock in 1925. That stake would have grown to well over $100 million today. (source: The Future for Investors).Speculation abounds in the stock market. Take, for example, the rush of investors into so-called cloud computing companies, which are attracting massive capital spending and smack of the internet and fiber optic infrastructure spending boom in the late 1990s. I remember going to Omaha to attend a Berkshire Hathaway meeting in 1999. Then the rage was Level 3 Communications, which was spending aggressively expanding fiber-optic networks. The reputation of Peter Kiewit as a major investor led to a huge following and stampede by Omaha i! nvestors ! into the stock. Two meetings later the stock had dropped over 75%. We live in a world where data generation is exponential, and supply gluts can develop rapidly, especially in times of euphoria.The Economist recently revisited five financial crises, and the conclusion can be summed up by Walter Bagehot, the magazine's editor-in-chief from 1860 to 1877. He argued that financial panics come when "blind capital" floods into unwise speculative investments. Today, over 70% of the companies that have come public the last six months have no earnings, and have been priced over ten times sales.1 By comparison, the typically profitable S&P 500 stocks average 1.7 times sales.The good news is that this country still leads in the investor's trinity of rule of law, innovation and integrity in financial markets. The government takings in Russia have further motivated foreigners to relocate assets into the United States. Chinese buyers in San Francisco and Latin American buyers in Miami are an example of just two cities where foreign investors have been seeking a safe place for investment.How We Manage RiskMuch more homework and selectivity is needed to effectively compound money in today's higher priced investment climate. Grinding through 1000-1500 companies a year, we see pockets of opportunity but areas of extreme risk as well. With over 40,000 hours of cumulative research on individual stock and bonds through numerous market declines, we should be able to add value in assessing and quantifying risk. Our first question every day is, "how much can we lose and what is the margin of safety?" This conservatism penalizes us in momentum markets such as we've had in recent years. But many times we have been able to make up lots of ground when times get tough.We appreciate your trust.Jeff Auxier (Trades, Portfolio)Cumulative Performance Since Inception – 3/31/14Performance data quoted represents past perfor! mance and! is no guarantee of future results.Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus, a copy of which may be obtained by calling (877) 328-9437 or visiting the Fund's website. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest.Fund returns (i) assume the reinvestment of all dividends and capital gain distributions and (ii) would have been lower during the period if certain fees and expenses had not been waived. Performance shown is for the Fund's Investor Class shares; returns for other share classes will vary. Performance for Investor Class shares for periods prior to December 10, 2004 reflects performance of the applicable share class of Auxier Focus Fund, a series of Unified Series Trust (the "Predecessor Fund"). Prior to January 3, 2003, the Predecessor Fund was a series of Ameriprime Funds. The performance of the Fund's Investor Class shares for the period prior to December 10, 2004 reflects the expenses of the Predecessor Fund. The Fund may invest in value and/or growth stocks. Investments in value stocks are subject to risk that their intrinsic value may never be realized and investments in growth stocks may be susceptible to rapid price swings, especially during periods of economic uncertainty. In addition, the Fund may invest in mid-sized companies which generally carry greater risk than is customarily associated with larger companies. Moreover, if the Fund's portfolio is overweighted in a sector, any negative development affecting that sector will have a greater impact on the Fund than a fund that is not overweighted in that sector. An increase in interest rates typically causes a fall in the value of a debt security (Fixed-Income Securities Risk) with corresponding changes to the Fund's value. Foreside Fund Services, LLC, distributor. The S&P 500 Index is a broad-based, unmanaged measurement of changes in stock market conditions based on 500 widely held common stoc! ks. One c! annot invest directly in an index. 1. Price-To-Sales Ratio - PSR' A valuation ratio that compares a company's stock price to its revenues. The price-to-sales ratio is an indicator of the value placed on each dollar of a company's sales or revenues.The views in this shareholder letter were those of the Fund Manager as of the letter's publication date and may not reflect his views on the date this letter is first distributed or anytime thereafter. These views are intended to assist readers in understanding the Fund's investment methodology and do not constitute investment advice.Also check out: Jeff Auxier Undervalued Stocks Jeff Auxier Top Growth Companies Jeff Auxier High Yield stocks, and Stocks that Jeff Auxier keeps buying
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Cities with the most content workers

Americans spend much of their day at work, and more than half of Americans rated their overall work environment poorly last year. Although the number of workers who gave their workplace a positive overall review is up to 48% from an all-time low of 47.2% in 2011, it has yet to recover to past levels of over 51%.

Of course, workers in different cities can have markedly different feelings about their jobs. According to the recent Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index, San Luis Obispo, Calif., was the metropolitan area with the best work environment. The area with the worst work environment was Fayetteville, N.C.

To determine the best and worst work environments, Gallup surveyed hundreds of thousands of Americans in 189 metropolitan areas in the U.S. in 2012 and 2013. The Work Environment Index included four metrics: job satisfaction; whether employees felt they used their strengths at work; how employees were treated by their supervisors; and whether supervisors created an open and trusting work environment.

How workers were treated by their supervisors was perhaps the most meaningful indicator of a healthy workplace. According to Dan Witters, research director of the Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index, workers were far more likely to give positive evaluations to other elements of their jobs if they felt treated like a partner at work. As a result, the cities with the best work environments were largely those where workers most often felt treated like a partner.

In fact, seven of the 10 best cities for work also had among the 10-highest percentages of workers who felt treated like a partner at work. Workplace environments were also tied to other well-being measures such as emotional and physical health. "Emotional health gets better where work environment well-being is higher," Witters said.

But, he added, the relationship between emotional health and work environment is reciprocal. Emotionally healthy workers make more valuable employees and are more likely to be hired in the fi! rst place. In the cities where people most enjoyed work, residents were more likely to say they learned something new every day, a key measure of emotional health in the Well-Being Index. In the San Luis Obispo metro area, more than 73% of residents said they had learned something new or interesting in the past day, a higher rate than in all but three other metro areas nationwide.

The opposite was frequently true in poorly ranked cities, where workers were far less likely to feel they had daily learning opportunities. Witters also highlighted that a good work environment is often connected to better exercise and eating habits.

"Workplaces that advocate and promote high well-being lifestyles can have a very significant influence [on employees]," Witters explained. Simultaneously, "people who exhibit those healthier behaviors are more attractive for a workplace to hire."

For instance, all but two of the 10 best cities for work had smoking rates below the national rate, and just 11.1% of San Jose residents smoked, the second lowest rate in the nation. At the other end, residents in the nation's worst cities for work were more likely to smoke and practice other unhealthy behaviors.

In Charleston, W. Va., more than 34% of residents smoked, the highest percentage in the nation. Since answers to questions from Gallup's work environment index were provided by people who had jobs, the health of the areas' job market may not always have a huge impact on workplace environment well-being.

CITIES WITH MOST MISERABLE WORKERS: Yes, 24/7 Wall St. has that list, too

While six of the 10 highest rated cities had unemployment rates below the national rate as of December, four did not. In the Visalia, California metro area, the unemployment rate was 13.1%, nearly double the national rate of 6.7% that month. Similarly, among the worst rated cities, Charleston's unemployment rate was 5.4% — much lower than the national rate. While not a direct relationship, the health of the job market ca! n affect ! workplaces.

For instance, the recession and constant daily layoffs has created stressful work environments overall and therefore also impacted workers with a job. In some cases, when it is harder find a job, "you'll see [some] supervisor-worker relationships erode, and suffer, as a result of that shifted power arrangement." Median income and educational attainment rates might be expected to have substantial effects on workplace evaluations, but that was not always the case. In several instances, respondents from relatively poor areas overwhelmingly approved of their jobs, while residents of wealthier areas were often likely to give poor assessments.

For example, in the Fort Smith metro area, located in Arkansas and Oklahoma, median household income was just $36,061 in 2012, but residents rated their workplaces fifth-best. Median household income in the Poughkeepsie, New York metro area, on the other hand, was $66,612 that year, but residents their rated their workplaces among the worst. According to Witters, this is due primarily to the weight a supervisor carries in determining the quality of a work environment.

If you have a bad supervisor, your work experience will be poor regardless of the level of your education and financial situation. Witters said, as your education improves, however, the kinds of jobs available to you are going to be different. For example, in "the low education, low income jobs, you're going to be more likely to be in a hierarchical arrangement — you're less likely to be in a role that requires you to be imaginative and creative and collaborative." Rather, "you're more likely to be in a role where you just need to take your orders and do what you're told to." To identify the best and worst cities for work, 24/7 Wall St.reviewed the metropolitan areas with the best and worst scores on the Work Environment Index, part of the Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index.

MORE: America's most content (and miserable) cities

The Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Ind! ex assess! ed 189 metropolitan statistical areas. The Work Environment Index is one of five subindices included in the groups' overall score. The index measures workplace happiness for the U.S., states, metropolitan areas and occupations, based on answers to four questions.In addition to these figures, we also considered income, poverty and educational attainment data from the U.S. Census Bureau, all from 2012. Local, seasonally adjusted unemployment rates, current as of December 2013, are from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. These are the cities with the most content and miserable workers.

Here are the best cities for work:

10. Kingsport-Bristol-Bristol, Tenn.-Va.

> Work environment index score: 54.7
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 90.9% (49th lowest)
> Pct. learned something new that day: 54.5% (2nd lowest)
> Pct. with college degree: 19.2% (75th lowest)
> Median household income: $37,769 (21st lowest)

Unlike some of the cities where workers are most satisfied, Kingsport area residents had low educational attainment rates, with slightly more than 19.2% of adults 25 and older having graduated college, considerably lower than the national rate. A typical household in the area also made just $37,769 in 2012, considerably lower than most other metro areas. Despite the low education levels and incomes, area workers had among the most pleasant work environments. Employees in the Kingsport metro area had among the best supervisors in the nation last year. Nearly 65% of survey-respondents felt their supervisors treated them like a partner, and 84.6% felt their supervisors created a trusting work environment, more than all but a handful of other areas reviewed.

9. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif.

> Work environment index score: 54.8
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 93.5% (11th highest)
> Pct. learned something new that day: 68.4% (32nd highest)
> Pct. with college degree: 46.4% (10th highest)
> Median household inc! ome: $90,! 737 (the highest)

A typical household in the San Jose metro area earned more than $90,000 in 2012, more than in any other metro area in the nation. High incomes are likely the result of the strong presence of traditionally high-paying sectors. For instance, the professional, scientific, and management sector accounted for 18.4% of the area jobs, much higher than the sector's proportion of less than 11% of workers nationwide. Large companies such as Google and Apple are based in the area and provide lucrative job opportunities to area residents. Like a number of high-paying tech companies, both companies were listed on Glassdoor's Best Places to Work this year. Additionally, residents of the San Jose metro area, along with those of Washington, D.C., had the highest economic confidence in the nation, according to a recent Gallup survey. ALSO READ: States With the Highest (and Lowest) Taxes

8. Kennewick-Pasco-Richland, Wash.

> Work environment index score: 55.0
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 93.9% (7th highest)
> Pct. learned something new that day: 66.6% (49th highest)
> Pct. with college degree: 24.8% (173rd lowest)
> Median household income: $57,189 (54th highest)

Nearly nine in 10 respondents from the Kennewick region said they used their strengths at work last year, more than in all but four other metro areas. Supervisors in the region were also well-regarded, with 66.7% of respondents reporting their supervisor treated them like a partner last year, second-highest among all areas reviewed. Residents earned more than most Americans, with a median household income of $57,189 in 2012, compared to $51,371 nationwide. While the relationship to workplace satisfaction is unclear, a relatively large percentage — 8.4% of the workforce — was employed in the agricultural industry, more than four times the rate across the nation.

7. Roanoke, Va.

> Work environment index score: 55.1
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 91.2% (67th l! owest) > Pct. learned something new that day: 64.1% (91st lowest)
> Pct. with college degree: 25.5% (182nd highest)
> Median household income: $46,974 (181st highest)

Unlike other metro areas with highly rated workplaces, supervisors in Roanoke were not as likely to create a trusting work environment. Less than 80% of respondents thought their supervisor did so in 2013, in-line with the average across all metro areas. However, this did not prevent residents from liking their jobs, with 90.5% of survey respondents reporting job satisfaction, among the best job evaluations among all metro areas surveyed. The job climate in Roanoke is also relatively good, with just a 5.4% unemployment rate in December last year, below the national rate of 6.7% that month.

MORE: Ten cities where young people can't find work

6. Visalia-Porterville, Calif.

> Work environment index score: 55.3
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 93.9% (7th highest)
> Pct. learned something new that day: 65.4% (65th highest)
> Pct. with college degree: 14.7% (12th lowest)
> Median household income: $40,302 (50th lowest)

The unemployment rate in the Visalia metro area was an abysmal 13.1% last December, considerably higher than the national rate of 6.7% that month. Meanwhile educational attainment rates were well below the national rate, with fewer than 15% of residents over 25 holding a college degree. Despite all this, survey respondents felt much better about their workplace than most metro areas surveyed. Respondents rated supervisors, in particular, very well, with 65.6% of residents saying their superiors treated them like a partner. Like several other regions with positively-reviewed work environments, the agriculture sector made up a large proportion of employment in the Visalia area, accounting for nearly 19% of the workforce, compared with just 2.0% nationwide.

MORE: The 15 highest-paying companies in America

5. Fort Smith, Ark.- Okla.

> Wor! k environ! ment index score: 56.4
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 91.5% (85th lowest)
> Pct. learned something new that day: 59.2% (15th lowest)
> Pct. with college degree:15.8% (24th lowest)
> Median household income: $36,061 (9th lowest)

Residents of the Fort Smith metro area were more likely to say their supervisors provided a trusting environment than Americans anywhere else, with 88.2% saying so in the last year. Nearly 92% were also satisfied with their jobs, more than the vast majority of metro areas reviewed by Gallup. Job satisfaction, however, does not seem to be connected with high incomes in Fort Smith, where a typical household earned just $36,061 in 2012, among the lowest nationwide. Additionally, it did not seem to have much bearing on how people rated other elements of their lives. Fort Smith residents rated their present lives and their future expectations lower than residents anywhere else in the U.S. More than 17% of the workforce in Fort Smith were employed in the manufacturing sector, compared with slightly more than 10% of workers nationwide.

MORE: America's fastest growing cities

4. Naples-Marco Island, Fla.

> Work environment index score: 57.8
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 96.7% (the highest)
> Pct. learned something new that day: 64.6% (80th highest)
> Pct. with college degree: 31.0% (88th highest)
> Median household income: $54,126 (81st highest)

Naples residents reported feeling less stressed than those in any other metro area reviewed by Gallup, with more than 70% reporting no stress during the majority of the previous day last year. Low stress levels in the area may be due to a healthy work environment and a relatively good job market. Nearly 64% of respondents thought their supervisors treated them like an equal, compared with just 56.6% nationwide. The area unemployment rate was less than 6.0% in December of that year, much lower than the national unemployment rate of 6.7%.

MORE: Th! e best (a! nd worst) paying cities for women

3. Fort Collins-Loveland, Colo.

> Work environment index score: 58.2
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 93.5% (11th highest)
> Pct. learned something new that day: 71.8% (7th highest)
> Pct. with college degree: 44.7% (13th highest)
> Median household income: $55,890 (63rd highest)

Like many of the cities where workers are satisfied, residents of the Fort Collins metro area are well educated, with nearly 45% of adults 25 years and older having at least a bachelor's degree as of 2012. Much of the work in the area demands high skills and education. This may translate, for many residents, into intellectually stimulating work. Nearly 72% of residents said they learned something new daily, more than all but six metro areas. The area is home to a large number of high-tech manufacturers, as well as Colorado State University, a major research institution. Overall, more than 90% of Fort Collins respondents were satisfied with their jobs, among the highest rates in the U.S.

MORE: Nine cities where wealth is soaring

2. Lincoln, Neb.

> Work environment index score: 58.7
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 90.8% (43rd lowest)
> Pct. learned something new that day: 69.8% (16th highest)
> Pct. with college degree: 35.9% (41st highest)
> Median household income: $50,668 (126th highest)

More than 91% of Lincoln inhabitants said they were satisfied with their jobs last year, the 12th-highest percentage in the nation. Additionally, nearly 64% of respondents felt treated like a partner at work, higher than in all but a handful of other metro areas. Like many of the cities where workers are satisfied, the area is home to a major research university. Lincoln is home to the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, which spent a quarter-billion dollars on research and development in fiscal 2012 and had more than 8,000 employees as of 2013. The area's job market was excellent as of December last year, ! with an u! nemployment rate of just 3.3%.

MORE: Ten states with the most fraud complaints

1. San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, Calif.

> Work environment index score: 59.1
> Pct. feel treated with respect: 92.7% (35th highest)
> Pct. learned something new that day: 73.3% (4th highest)
> Pct. with college degree: 33.5% (59th highest)
> Median household income: $60,264 (36th highest)

San Luis Obispo residents evaluated their work experiences better than residents in any other metro area. Nearly nine in 10 area residents were satisfied with their jobs last year. This may be due in part to the fact that respondents believed their lives were filled with interesting experiences and intellectual growth. More than 73% of respondents said they learned something new or interesting the previous day, more than in all but three other metro areas. Additionally contributing to residents' high ratings of their workplace, more than 88% said they utilized their strengths at work and more than 67% felt treated like a partner, both among the highest rates in the country. Workers were also relatively well-paid, with a median household income of $60,264 in 2012, well above the national median of $51,371 that year.

24/7 Wall St. is a USA TODAY content partner offering financial news and commentary. Its content is produced independently of USA TODAY.

Monday, March 9, 2015

Sinkhole strikes Corvette museum

BOWLING GREEN, Ky. — A sinkhole formed Wednesday under the National Corvette Museum here, swallowing eight cars, according to its executive director.

Sometime before 5:30 a.m. CT, the sinkhole started to form, authorities believe. By 5:44 a.m., motion detectors were going off and police were called, Executive Director Wendell Strode said. Security cameras at the museum (below) caught the destruction.

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When emergency personnel got to the museum, they discovered a sinkhole 40 feet wide and 25 to 30 feet deep, Strode said.

"It's pretty significant," he said.

Of the eight cars that fell into the hole, the museum owned six and General Motors owned two. GM's Bowling Green Corvette plant, the only factory that builds Corvettes, is across a highway less than a half mile from the museum.

Cars involved in the incident, which occurred inside the museum's iconic spire called the Sky Dome, are these:

1962 black Corvette1984 PPG pace car for the Indy 5001992 white 1 millionth-built Corvette1993 ruby red 40th anniversary Corvette1993 ZR1 Spyder on loan from General Motors, a design study that was never built. 2001 Mallett Hammer Z06 Corvette, a one-off tuner model.2009 white 1.5 millionth-built Corvette.2009 ZR1 "Blue Devil" on loan from General Motors, the show car for the re-introduction of the ZR1, last built in the early 1990s.

Staff were able to move 20 cars out of the Sky Dome later in the day after engineers determined that nothing was in danger of collapsing. Early in the day, Strobe said emergency personnel allowed museum staff to remove only one other car, the only surviving example of the "1983" Corvette. It had not fallen into the hole.

Andrea Hales, communications manager at the Bowling Green Corvette plant, said the Corvette was not produced in 1983. A six-month delay in the new generation created a model year gap. GM built about 40 prototype 1983s, whi! ch could not be sold, then built the production cars as 1984 models. It crushed all the 1983s except for the one given to the museum.

Hales added that the sinkhole had no effect on the nearby plant.

Bowling Green — about 60 miles northeast of Nashville and 100 miles southwest of Louisville — is at the edge of a karst region where caves, springs and sinkholes are common. The main entrance to Mammoth Cave National Park is about 30 miles northeast of the city, but that cave system has more than 400 miles that have been explored and covers more than 400 square miles, according to the National Park Service.

Engineers determined that the building did not sustain any structural damage since the sinkhole was in the middle of the Sky Dome, museum spokeswoman Katie Frassinelli said.

"The structure of the building is intact and it's fine," she said.

“We're all feeling the same way: 'Oh man, that's a shame.'”

— Butch Hume, Falls City Corvette Club

Museum spokesman Bob Bubnis said officials anticipate repairing the sinkhole damage but said no timetable or plans for the repairs have been set. Officials don't anticipate having to move to a new site.

A monetary estimate of damage done to the museum and the vehicles involved has not been determined yet.

The cause of the sinkhole at the Corvette museum has not been determined, but oftentimes this kind of hole is caused by caves that expand over time until the surface gives way, said Jason Polk, a professor of geology and geography at Western Kentucky University in Bowling Green. Polk was part of the team investigating the cause and extent of the sink hole at the museum Wednesday.

"Eventually, the soil can't hold it," he said.

At this point, no other potenti! al sinkho! les appear to be threatening the rest of the museum, Polk said.

Butch Hume, president of Louisville's Falls City Corvette Club, cringed when he heard which cars were involved.

"I was stunned," he said. "What a terrible place for it to happen."

<!--iframe-->

The Sky Dome houses the museum's primo cars, Hume said. When news of the sinkhole started to spread, club members inundated Hume's cellphone with text messages wanting to know what had happened.

VIDEO: Director describes Corvette-eating sinkhole

"I think anybody who has a Corvette was stunned when they heard that," he said. "We're all feeling the same way: 'Oh man, that's a shame.' "

If the sinkhole had opened up later in the day when the museum was open, things could have been a lot worse, he said.

Within hours, Corvette aficionados started to offer assistance. Chuck McMurray, with Tamraz's Auto Parts in Plainfield, Ill., said his company is ready to jump in and help the museum find any original parts that might be needed to restore the damaged cars.

Calling the Corvette part of American history, McMurray said his company is ready to help.

"We have a warehouse full of really weird stuff that we've acquired over the last 50 years," he said.

The museum was open Wednesday, but the Sky Dome, in a separate building connected to the museum by a hallway, will be off limits for a while, Strode said.

"We'll try to get back to business as usual as soon as we can and keep moving forward," he said.

A 40-foot sinkhole at the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky., swallowed eight of the cars on display Feb. 12. A 40-foot sinkhole at the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky., swallowed eight of the cars on display Feb. 12.  National Corvette MuseumFullscreenA 40-foot sinkhole at the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky., swallowed eight of the cars on display. A 40-foot sinkhole at the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky., swallowed eight of the cars on display.  National Corvette MuseumFullscreenThe 'Sky Dome' at the National Corvette Museum. The 'Sky Dome' at the National Corvette Museum.  Jim Roshan, Special for The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenCorvettes are on display in the 'Sky Dome' at The National Corvette Museum. Corvettes are on display in the 'Sky Dome' at The National Corvette Museum.  Jim Roshan, Special for The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenThe front of the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky. The front of the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky.  Jim Roshan, Special for The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenCorvettes are on display at The National Corvette Museum. Corvettes are on display at The National Corvette Museum.  Jim Roshan, Special for The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenThis sign at the entrance guides people to the Corvette museum in Bowling Green, Ky., on May 23, 1997. This sign at the entrance guides people to the Corvette museum in Bowling Green, Ky., on May 23, 1997.  Keith Williams, The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenA portrait of Zora Arkus-Duntov chief engineer of the Corvette was on display outside of the Cheverolet theater on May 27, 1997. A portrait of Zora Arkus-Duntov chief engineer of the Corvette was on display outside of the Cheverolet theater on May 27, 1997.  Keith Williams, The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenJ.R. Moffett looked at a 1959 Corvette in a period showroom at the Corvette Museum in Bowling Green. He drove from Fort Knox to tour the museum. J.R. Moffett looked at a 1959 Corvette in a period showroom at the Corvette Museum in Bowling Green. He drove from Fort Knox to tour the museum.  Keith Williams, The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenTracey Arand and Steve Meyman look at the display of Corvettes in Skydome of the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green. Ky., on May 23, 1997. Tracey Arand and Steve Meyman look at the display of Corvettes in Skydome of the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green. Ky., on May 23, 1997.  Keith Williams, The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenTracey Arand, left, and Steve Meyman look at the display of pictures of Corvettes as they stand in front of painting a Corvette on May 27, 1997. Tracey Arand, left, and Steve Meyman look at the display of pictures of Corvettes as they stand in front of painting a Corvette on May 27, 1997.  Keith Williams, The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenCorvettes are on display at The National Corvette Museum. Corvettes are on display at The National Corvette Museum.  Jim Roshan, Special for The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenA tour guide talks to a group of schoolkids at the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky., on May 20, 2002. A tour guide talks to a group of schoolkids at the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky., on May 20, 2002.  Jim Roshan, Special for The (Louisville) Courier-JournalFullscreenLike this topic? You may also like these photo galleries:ReplayA 40-foot sinkhole at the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky., swallowed eight of the cars on display Feb. 12.A 40-foot sinkhole at the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky., swallowed eight of the cars on display.The 'Sky Dome' at the National Corvette Museum.Corvettes are on display in the 'Sky Dome' at The National Corvette Museum.The front of the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky.Corvettes are on display at The National Corvette Museum.This sign at the entrance guides people to the Corvette museum in Bowling Green, Ky., on May 23, 1997.A portrait of Zora Arkus-Duntov chief engineer of the Corvette was on display outside of the Cheverolet theater on May 27, 1997.J.R. Moffett looked at a 1959 Corvette in a period showroom at the Corvette Museum in Bowling Green. He drove from Fort Knox to tour the museum.Tracey Arand and Steve Meyman look at the display of Corvettes in Skydome of the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green. Ky., on May 23, 1997.Tracey Arand, left, and Steve Meyman look at the display of pictures of Corvettes as they stand in front of painting a Corvette on May 27, 1997.Corvettes are on display at The National Corvette Museum.A tour guide talks to a group of schoolkids at the National Corvette Museum in Bowling Green, Ky., on May 20, 2002.AutoplayShow ThumbnailsShow CaptionsLast SlideNext Slide

Goldman Sachs: Alcoa Could Gain More Than 30% on Auto, Aerospace Aluminum Demand

Goldman Sachs is bullish on aluminum–and Alcoa (AA).

Associated Press

Goldman Sachs’ Sal Tharani and team see Buy-rated Alcoa gaining more than 30%% during the next six months. They explain why:

We raise our 6-month P/E-, EV/EBITDA-, and DCF-based price target to $15 from $12, and raise our multiples an average of 15% to reflect the strong growth potential from automotive aluminum sheet and continued aerospace strength. We expect [Alcoa] to see multiple expansion as investors gain more confidence in the demand growth for automotive aluminum sheet, growing aerospace demand, and its continued cost cutting initiative in the upstream businesses. We believe automotive aluminum will be the fastest growing market for metals over the next several years, where Alcoa has a leading position in the US.

We believe the North American automotive aluminum sheet market will grow at an over 50% CAGR from 2013-2016 and believe the Ford (F) F-150 is just tip of the iceberg. We expect further announcements of aluminum body vehicles in the US, as automakers work to achieve CAFE emission standards and gain customers who are more concerned about fuel costs. For instance, Ford expects the F-150 to have +30% fuel efficiency gains by switching to an all-aluminum body; when comparing the steel Toyota (TM) Venza (with only 3% Al content) to the aluminum intensive
model (37% content) fuel efficiency improved by over 18%.

Tharani also added Constellium (CTSM) to his conviction list with a $35 price target.

Shares of Alcoa have gained 2.5% to $11.34, while Constellium has advanced 1.9% to $25.25. Ford has risen 0.6% to $14.93 and Toyota Motor is up 0.7% at $117.84.

KKR Rolls Up Specialty Finance Arm in $2.6B Stock Deal

Updated from 5:41 p.m. ET to include comments from Leon Cooperman of Omega Advisors.

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Private equity giant KKR & Co. (KKR) is buying its publicly traded specialty finance arm KKR Financial (KFN) in a $2.6 billion all-stock transaction that the Henry Kravis and George Roberts-run company says will boost its earnings per share.

Shareholders of KKR Financial will receive 0.51 common units of KKR for each common share they own, valuing the company at $12.79 a share based on Monday closing prices. The deal implies a 35% premium to the Monday closing price of KKR Financial, KKR said in a statement.

KKR Financial shares were rising over 30% to $12.43 in after-hours trading. KKR shares were trading lower by just over 1% to $24.80.

"The deal makes sense. The price is fair. We own KKR and KFN and look forward to owning more KKR," Leon Cooperman, head of hedge fund Omega Advisors, said in an e-mail to TheStreet.

Omega Advisors is the second largest shareholder of KKR Financial, with an over 7% stake in the company's shares according to quarterly Securities and Exchange Commission filings as of Sept. 30. Omega also is an investor in KKR shares with an over 1% stake, the filings show. KKR Financial has a $2.9 billion portfolio that is invested in collateralized loan obligations, special situations investments and traditional private equity. The merger is expected to combine complimentary investment portfolios, make use of KKR Financial's fully invested funds and improve the overall entity's financial structure. "The acquisition of KFN will accelerate the diversification of KKR's balance sheet holdings, in addition to increasing their liquidity and yield profile," KKR said. The company also highlighted that it will preserve KKR Financial's funding structure, including $1 billion of long-term, largely fixed-rate debt and perpetual preferred securities, which will remain obligations of KFN without recourse to any other KKR entity. Overall, the deal is expected to improve KKR's distributable earnings per share, the company's preferred earnings metric. KKR calculates that after the acquisition, its book value per share will rise 13% to $11.34 a share. "Through this transaction, we are acquiring a business with a fully invested, complementary portfolio of assets while increasing the scale and diversity of KKR's balance sheet. Furthermore, through the distribution of KFN's realized earnings, the transaction is expected to provide a meaningfully greater recurring component to KKR's distribution and also be immediately accretive on a total distribution per unit basis," Henry Kravis and George Roberts, co-chairmen and co-chief executive officers of KKR, said in a joint statement.

KKR and KFN's boards of directors have both approved the transaction, which is expected to close in the first half of 2014, according to a statement. Goldman Sachs and Simpson Thacher & Bartlett are representing KKR, and Lazard and Cravath Swaine & Moore are serving as independent financial and legal advisors to the independent directors of KKR. Sandler O'Neill & Partners and Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz are serving as independent financial and legal advisors to the independent committee of the KKR Financial's board of directors. Follow @antoinegara -- Written by Antoine Gara in New York.

Stock quotes in this article: KKR, KFN 

Wednesday, March 4, 2015

Rolando Marranci named Vatican bank general dir…

NEW YORK -- The Vatican bank Saturday named Rolando Marranci, a consultant brought in earlier this year to help oversee compliance, as director general as the troubled financial institution tries to transform itself after being hit by scandal.

Marranci, 60, was tapped as deputy general director in a July shake-up when Paolo Cipriani, then the bank's top official, resigned along with deputy Massimo Tulli. During Cipriani's watch, Roman magistrates froze $33 million in Vatican bank assets held in an Italian bank, charging violations of transparency protocols, according to the National Catholic Reporter.

Marranci was one of two executives with secular banking experience brought in to assist Ernst von Freyberg, the Vatican bank president who assumed the general director role on an acting basis.

Calling Marranci's service "very effective," von Freyberg said in a statement issued Saturday that the bank was "grateful that he has now accepted to serve as General Director."

Marranci previously worked with Promontory Financial Group, an independent consultant Pope Francis I brought in to review the bank's records and improve anti-money laundering efforts.

From 1980 until 2011, Marranci worked for the Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, an Italian bank where he served in a number of executive roles, including head of accounts control for the head office and Italian branches.

Improving the Institute for the Works of Religion — the official name of the Vatican bank — has been a significant issue during the early months of Pope Francis' tenure. He has appointed a commissions to advise him on the bank's structure.

Marranci's appointment comes days before the Vatican is expected to be evaluated by the Council of Europe's Moneyval committee on progress complying with international norms to fight money laundering and terror financing, the Associated Press reported.